The instability and other factors are imminent and unavoidable in the long run, despite the market stabilizing of the Rand to portray that everything is normal in South Africa, things are not as normal as we see them on the surface.
The elections in South Africa have ended, and the results are finally announced, and its until Fraday 14th June, the party that got more votes in this case, the ANC has to form a coalition. Subsequently, this time democracy is really at a test because no party won with an outright majority.
In these shake-up of things, the ANC hegemony in South African politics has been reduced or almost ended after thirty years of rule, which can be described as the failure of Black people to govern because of ANC deployed cadres meddling in nonendemic or unabated corruption, embezzlement of public funds, nepotism and enabling the expansion of poverty among black Africans, etc.
What is more painful handle is the fact that the entire African continent was hopeful that the ANC would deliver on its mandates and be exemplary to other African countries, and African to show to the face of the world that we can also govern alone, but, unfortunately, that dream was short-lived only for thirty years of ANC reign accompanied with disappointing and disastrous management of public purse in all public institutions.
What happened to get where we are?
It’s said that politics is a dirty game, and indeed it is. Besides politics being a dirty game, the ANC members were so drunk with power and ignored over a long period of time to listen to its electorates, a situation which caused many political formations or parties to break away from the ruling ANC because of dissatisfaction with certain members within the party.
Indeed, the splits started way back with Mangaliso Subukwe of Pan African Congress PAC then, Magusuthu Buthelezi when he formed the Inkatha Freedom Party “IFP”, and then Bantu Holomisa formed the United Democratic Movement “UDM”. Years passed, and people thought ANC would not split anytime soon. Later, this haemorrhage broke loose in 2007, after an ANC conference in Polokwane, where Thabo Mbeki was seeking a third term as ANC president, he subsequently failed and was replaced by Jacob Zuma Mbeki followers who were not happy with the outcome of the conference choice, decided to leave the ANC, people like Mbezima Shilowa, Mosia Lekota, Bloem, and other, formed the Congress of the People “COPE,” which came clear that Thabo Mbeki to have been the man behind engineering all of that, and as a proof of that his mother denounced her ANC membership and died as a COPE member.
Since then, Thabo Mbeki refused to attend any ANC gathering, including meetings. He only resumed attending meetings just recently after Zuma was removed too in 2018. The cracks splitting the ANC never stopped there, and they continued, as many members within the party scrambled for positions and wealth, leaving the people they were to liberate even more destitute and vulnerable, in terms of economic emancipation and other aspects, since the economy remains largely in the hands of minority white settlers, and majority indigenous blacks remain poor. After the expulsions of Julius Malema and Floyd Tshivambu from the ANC, they too went and started Economic Freedom Fighters “EFF.” Because of the stagnation of policy on economic transformation and land redistribution which were promised to the people but which never materialised, the EFF stood on that and took advantage of the ANC’s weaknesses for not advocating enough about these issues, and that became central to the EFF policies, representing the voices of many voiceless in parliament who seek reparations from apartheid looters and state capturers.
Soon after that many other parties all with Black leaders, the likes of AIC, ATM, ACT, ACTIONSA, etc were all born, and now the newborn on the block, the uMnkonto weSizwe party led by former president Jacob Zuma.
Looking at these trends, one would suggest that the failure of ANC was long-planned and that a day would come when black voters would turn against a movement that liberated them from the agony and humiliations of the white apartheid regime. White Monopoly Capitalists (WMC) have been constantly working hard to create unfavourable economic conditions we all witness in the country for the people of South Africa majority of whom are blacks who are ANC electorates to become delusional with party policies and stop voting for it…like what happened with other African political parties who liberated their people but, in the end, failed to keep up to their principles, ANC has also joined that long list of those other African political parties.
Meanwhile, white electorates remain loyal to their traditional political parties, the DA, and the VF-Plus, black and coloured votes, are being taken away or eaten by white parties. The coloured community is politically leaderless, for instance, they lost the trust of Patricia De Lille former leader of Independent Democrats who died after a failed merger with the DA in the Western Cape when they ousted the ANC in that province, and De Lille is now is a leader of GOOD party which performed poorly in these elections. For Now, coloured voters have banked their hopes in the Patrioc Alliance a xenophobic political part of Gayton former convicted bank robber Zimbabwe-born McKenzi, and Kenny King of eating Sushi on half-naked women Kunene whose ancestors can be traced from Eswatini (Swaziland).
We heard during the campaigns that some explosive xenophobic rhetoric messages made the loudest noises insinuated by xenophobic drunkard leaders.
As almost everyone predicted, the ANC failed to get above 50% to govern alone. Sadly, it has to work with some unfriendly parties towards African foreign nationals whom they decorated or labelled as undesirables and filthy, illegal African foreign nationals who are often called Makwere-were Magrigamba by locals.
Parties like Patriotic Alliance whose leaders are willing to unplug the respiratory gas from a foreigner and let the patient die or remove a foreign woman in labour from a maternity bed, and replace her with a South African patient;
ActionSA, whose leader Herman Mashaba hates foreigners with passion, and even MK banked their support on the back of anti-migrant chants. All these factors tell how merciless South Africa will become under the so-called government of National Unity (GNU). Although the MK, for instance, did not make much of such noise against foreigners, the position of most of its leaders on this matter is undisputedly known.
As the Patriotic Alliance seeks to coalize with a party that will accept the deportation of foreigners, it would want the ANC to give it the Home Affairs portfolio other than that, there will be no deal, so, the ANC as the only party that has to form a coalition government with other parties, it has to carefully choose who to go with into that coalition. One mistake of opting for the wrong party, il will surely mean bringing back xenophobia with full force, and it will also mean the end of foreigners living in South Africa because, those who favour foreigners like the EFF and a few others have suffered heavily during these elections, losing a significant number of votes, translating the lost support and confidence. They, too, may change their approach if they continue on the trend of losing votes and comply to be anti-foreigners to save themselves from slipping further.
We hope and pray that the ANC makes the correct choices and chooses parties that are friendly to African immigrants, not parties like Patrioc Alliance and the like.
Now, all our eyes are on how the ANC will choose her partner(s). DA-ANC deal is likely not to happen. Although the market is pushing this to happen, ANC Alliance partners SACP, COSATU, and SANCO are not in favour of this partnership because of policy ideological differences and political beliefs. The danger in this if it may happen is that ANC will accept to dig its own grave and bury itself before it eventually dies. We saw the demise of the Independent Democrats of De Lille after it merged with DA in the Western Cape. Also, another factor that would lead to the end of the ANC and what is even scarier if a DA-ANC deal goes ahead is that disgruntled ANC who are opposed to this arrangement, will leave the party and join the MKP, and work to save the ANC.
The ANC-EFF deal won’t happen unless they bring in Patrioc Allainace the xenophobic party of Gayton McKenzie because the less percentage that the EFF got in these elections
The ANC-MK forming is possible, but a few ANC members who don’t want Zuma back to politics remain sceptical and opposed to making such a deal with a party they believe has eaten away their votes To punish Zuma, these members aren’t ready to accept some of the MK demands such as the firing Ramaphosa.
To conclude, South Africa traverses very difficult moments after the elections. The ANC has termed the government it wants to form as the government of national unity. I concur with Maimane to disagree with this terminology. Branding political party arrangements after disastrous failure to secure enough votes to govern alone is fallacious, and misleading smaller parties to help ANC remain in power even though it will have to make concessions on some ministerial posts and other positions in other sectors of state entities. I would be mature to call this a Government of National Unity if they won with majority votes but, in spite, invited all other parties to form the government, but, not at the time it’s forced to form such a government, then calls it, a Government of National Unity, it’s a fallacy to say the least.
Moreover, times are crucial and very critical for the ANC not to be swayed by the capitalists who propel a DA-ANC government to save the country from financial and economic situations without looking at political and social implications.
In reality, no market or economy can fully function when a country is engulfed with political and social instabilities. Therefore, the best option for the ANC is to eat humble pie and accept to work with a black progressive party that shares some political, economic and social ideologies to keep the country together rather than following the voice of the market, who have no guarantee as for how long they can continue with operations in the country when already some multinational companies have started winding up their operations in South Africa, shifting elsewhere in the continent.
There will be no doubt if the ANC decides to go with the DA for someone to conclude that, indeed, South Africa is held at ransom by financial and economic syndicates or cabals, playing an old game the scary-mongering tactics as always, the freemasonry party the DA has started threatening the entire country that any other party coalition with the ANC will be doomsday for the South African economy.
